WMD Possessors and Aspirants
Five states are defined as nuclear weapon states under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT):
At least three more are de facto nuclear weapon possessors (the D-3):
These eight have the most advanced missile programmes and have also had,
and in some cases may continue to have, biological and/or chemical weapons
or programmes.
Several further states are viewed as of proliferation concern or have
programmes which have been exposed and are now being addressed and dismantled.
These include:
This section gives news, analyses or documentation relating to the possession,
proliferation or aspirations to acquire nuclear, chemical or biological
weapons by states or groups other than Britain and the United States, which are covered in separate detail. This
replaces previously separate features on Iraq, South Asia and Russia,
but provides links to past coverage of those states or regions.
Recent coverage from Disarmament Diplomacy
- Challenges for the Non-Proliferation
Regime and the Middle East
by Sameh Aboul-Enein, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.90, Spring 2009
- President Sarkozy calls for Disarmament
Debate, December 2008
- Toward a nuclear-free world: a German
view, January 2009
- Deal or No Deal: Can the North Korea
Nuclear Agreement be Salvaged?, including Press
Communiqué of the Heads of Delegation Meeting of The Sixth Round of
the Six-Party Talks, Beijing, 12 July 2008
- Concerns as US-India Nuclear Deal
Goes Through, including Statement
by US President George W. Bush on the Occasion of Signing H.R. 7081,
Issue No. 88, Summer 2008
- Presentation of Le Terrible
in Cherbourg, Nicolas Sarkozy, President of the French Republic,
March 21, 2008 (excerpts)
Iran
In the first television interview since his inauguration, President Obama
told the Arabic cable TV network al-Arabiya that "if countries like Iran
are willing to unclench their fist, they will find an extended hand from
us... It is very important for us to make sure that we are using all the
tools of US power, including diplomacy, in our relationship with Iran."
Susan Rice, the new US ambassador to the United Nations has also called
for "vigorous" and "direct" nuclear diplomacy
with Iran. "We look forward to engaging in vigorous diplomacy, that
includes direct diplomacy with Iran as well as continued collaboration
and partnership with the P-5 plus one... And we will look at what is necessary
and appropriate with respect to maintaining pressure towards that goal
of ending Iran's nuclear program." she said
In response Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has called for "profound
changes" in U.S. foreign policy -- including an end to support for Israel
and an apology to Iran for what he characterized as past misdeeds.
Iran also launched a satellite on 2 February, raising questions about
the linkage between its satellite programme and its work on missile technology.
Background Documents
- E3+3 statement on Iran, 8 April
2009
- President Obama speech on Nuclear
Disarmament, Prague, 5 April 2009
- US Secretary of State Clinton on
Iran, 31 March 2009
- President Obama on US-Iran relations,
9 February 2009
- IAEA Director General ElBaradei introductory
statement to the Board of Governors, 2 March 2009
- US statement on Iran satellite launch,
3 February 2009
- US Secretary of State Clinton on
Iran, 3 February 2009
- Susan Rice, US Ambassador to the
United Nations, Confirmation Hearing, 19 January 2009
- Hillary Rodham Clinton Nomination
Hearings To Be Secretary of State, 13 January 2009
Iran Proposals and Responses
- Proposal to Iran by China, France,
Germany, the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom, the United States
of America and the European Union, 14 June 2008
- EU High Representative for the CFSP
Javier Solana, Remarks at Press Conference in Tehran, 14 June 2008
- Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki
on a Middle East free of WMD, February 4, 2008
- E3+3 Political Directors Statement
on Iran, November 2, 2007
- P5 Foreign Ministers Statement on
Iran, October 28, 2007
- Understandings between the Islamic
Republic of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities of Resolution of the
Outstanding Issues, IAEA Information Circular 711, August 27, 2007
- Iran's Response to the Package Presented
on June 6, 2006
- Elements of a Revised Proposal to
Iran, June 9, 2006
UN Security Council Resolutions
- UNSCR on Nonproliferation, Statements
by Permanent Members of the Security Council, 3 March 2008
- UN Security Council Resolution 1803
on Nonproliferation (Iran), 29 February 2008
- UN Security Council Resolution 1747
on Non-Proliferation (Iran), March 24, 2007
- UN Security Council Resolution 1737
(2006), Non-proliferation, December 23, 2006
- UN Security Council Resolution 1696
on Non-proliferation [Iran], July 31, 2006
Coverage in Disarmament Diplomacy
- Challenges for the Non-Proliferation
Regime and the Middle East
by Sameh Aboul-Enein
-
Challenges for the NPT: Iran and North
Korea, by Michael Spies, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.90, Spring
2009
-
Rethinking Security Interests for
a Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone in the Middle East, by Rebecca Johnson,
Disarmament Diplomacy, No.86, Autumn 2007
-
Building Blocks for a WMD Disarmament
Regime in the Middle East, by Merav Datan, Disarmament Diplomacy,
No.86, Autumn 2007
- Iran masters Uranium Enrichment as
US Intelligence Report Says Nuclear Weapons Programme Halted in 2003,
Disarmament Diplomacy, No.86, Autumn 2007, including:
See the Acronym Institute's Iran archive for
further documents and analysis.
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North Korea
North Korea's Nuclear Test and the CTBT
North Korea is undermining international security with its high risk
nuclear brinkmanship. In conducting its nuclear test, North Korea is playing
a high risk game of nuclear brinkmanship that underscores the global urgency
of bringing the CTBT into force.
North Korea probably hopes to put pressure on the Obama administration
and the Six Party Talks, and increase the price of its denuclearisation
as required by the UN Security Council. This test demonstrates the need
to make the global prohibition on nuclear testing fully binding in international
law. Condemnation is not enough: the US and China have particular responsibility
and must accelerate their own efforts to ratify the CTBT.
For more on the CTBT go to Acronym's CTBT
page.
Background
In October 2008 a deal on verification
was reached following North Korea's declaration on its nuclear programme
(as agreed in the October 2007 agreement on 'Second
Phase Actions' for implementing the 2005
Joint Statement on North Korea's nuclear programme). In return the
US removed North Korea from the State Department's list of states sponsors
of terrorism.
In recent months, however, North Korea has resisted implementation of
the verification protocol and increased tensions, announcing that it intends
to "scrap" all political and
military agreements with the South and adopt an "all-out confrontational
posture". Media reports suggest that North Korea may have "weaponised"
approximately 30 kg of plutonium - enough to make 4 or 5 nuclear warheads.
On 5 April 2009, North Korea launched a rocket, which it claimed was
a successful satellite launch, but which the US and others view as a cover
for further ballistic missile development. Although North Korea claims
that the launch was a success, reports in the US indicate that the rocket
failed to launch anything into orbit and fell into the ocean. Whilst the
US pushed for a strong statement from the UN Security Council, it was
blocked by Russia and China, which urged restraint, referring to the right
of nations to peaceful use of space. Japan has responded by unilaterally
extending its sanctions against North Korea.
North Korea, however, has reacted angrily to condemnation of its launch
and on 14 April, once again asked IAEA inspectors to leave its Yongbyon
plant.
Government Documents and Statements
- US Special Representative Stephen
W. Bosworth comments on North Korea, 12 May 2009
- US Special Representative Stephen
W. Bosworth comments on North Korea, 8 May 2009
- Statement by the President of the
Security Council on North Korea, 13 April 2009
- US Permanent Representative Rice
on UN Presidential Statement on North Korea, 13 April 2009
- US Permanent Representative Rice
on UN Presidential Statement on North Korea, 11 April 2009
- US Ambassador Rice on UN Security
Council meeting on the DPRK rocket launch, 5 April 2009
- US Ambassador Bosworth briefing on
North Korea, 3 April 2009
- US Ambassador Bosworth briefing on
North Korea, 9 March 2009
- North Korea 'scraps' political and
military agreements with the South, 30 January 2009
- North Korea grants IAEA access to
Yongbyon, IAEA Press Release, 13 October 2008
- US-North Korea Understandings on
Verification, 11 October 2008
- State Department briefing on North
Korea, 11 October 2008
- North Korea bars IAEA access to Yongbyon,
IAEA Press Release, 9 October 2008
- IAEA removed seals at Yongbyon,
IAEA Press Release, 24 September 2008
- US Assistant Secretary for East Asian
and Pacific Affairs Christopher R. Hill on North Korean activities at
Yongbyon, 6 September 2008
- US proposal to North Korea on verification,
September 2008
- US Assistant Secretary for East Asian
and Pacific Affairs Christopher R. Hill testimony on North Korea,
31 July 2008
- North Korea Foreign Ministry Statement
on the disablement of Yongbyon, 4 July 2008
- President Bush press conference on
North Korea, 26 June 2008
- US Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice on the North Korea Declaration, 26 June 2008
- US Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice Op-Ed on North Korea, 26 June 2008
- North Korea: Presidential Action
on State Sponsor of Terrorism (SST) and the Trading with the Enemy Act
(TWEA), 26 June 2008
- State Department Briefing on Six
Party Talks, 13 May 2008
- State Department Fact Sheet on North
Korea Six Party Talks, 10 May 2008
- US Assistant Secretary for East Asian
and Pacific Affairs Christopher Hill on the 6 party talks, 8 April
2008
- US Assistant Secretary for East Asian
and Pacific Affairs Christopher Hill on his meeting with DPRK Vice Foreign
Minister Kim Kye-gway, 8 April 2008
- US - DPRK bilateral meeting in Geneva,
13 March 2008
North Korea: Coverage in Disarmament Diplomacy
- Challenges for the NPT: Iran and North
Korea, by Michael Spies, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.90, Spring 2009
- Deal or No Deal: Can the North Korea
Nuclear Agreement be Salvaged?, including Press
Communiqué of the Heads of Delegation Meeting of The Sixth Round of
the Six-Party Talks, Beijing, 12 July 2008, Disarmament Diplomacy,
Issue No. 88, Summer 2008.
- North Korea: Good Progress, but Obstacles
Remain, including:
- North Korea Nuclear Agreement: Can
it Work? Disarmament Diplomacy, No.84, Spring 2007
- North Korea's Nuclear Test: Assessing
the Fallout, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.83, Winter 2006
Key Documents
See Acronym's North Korea archive for previous coverage of the North
Korea nuclear crisis including previous rounds of the six party talks.
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Iraq
Iraq: Coverage in Disarmament Diplomacy
- Two Terrifying Reports: The US Senate
and the 9/11 Commission on Intelligence Failures Before September 11
and the Iraq War
by Joseph Cirincione, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.78, July/August 2004
- Lord Butler's Report on UK Intelligence
by Stephen Pullinger, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.78, July/August 2004
- Iraq's illusive WMD, Disarmament
Diplomacy No.77, May/June 2004
- WMD in Iraq: Evidence and Implications,
by Alexis Orton and Joseph Cirincione, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.75,
January/February 2004
- Lord Hutton Reports on the Death
of Dr David Kelly, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.75, January/February
2004
- UK Debates Iraq War, WMD and Defence
Policy, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.74, December 2003
Iraq: Documents & Statements
- Comprehensive Report, Special Advisor
to the Director of Central Intelligence on Iraq's WMD, September
23, 2004
- US Secretary of State Colin Powell
on Iraq and Iran, September 29, 2004
- The 'new conflict' in Iraq, UK Prime
Minister Tony Blair, September 19, 2004
- '[T]he weight of legal advice here
is that a fresh mandate may well be required,' UK Foreign Secretary
Jack Straw's letter to Tony Blair before the Iraq war, leaked and published
in the Telegraph, September 18, 2004
- 'It was illegal,' UN Secretary-General
Kofi Annan on the Iraq war, September 16, 2004
- 'Collective' Misjudgements, the Butler
Report finds 'Serious Flaws' in the UK's Iraq intelligence, July 14,
2004
- Senate Intelligence Committee Report
on Pre-War Intelligence on Iraq, July 9, 2004
- UN Security Council Resolution 1546
on Iraq, June 8
- Full text of the 'Article 15-6 Investigation
of the 800th Military Police Brigade', also known as the Taguba report,
after the general who led this investigation, Major General Antonio
M. Taguba
- 'You have placed US diplomats, civilians
and military doing their jobs overseas in an untenable and even dangerous
position', US former diplomats' letter to President Bush, May 4
- US and British Inquiries into WMD
Intelligence, February 6
- '[W]e may have overestimated the
progress Saddam was making', CIA Director George Tenet on Iraq and WMD,
February 5
- '[W]e were almost all wrong', David
Kay on Iraq and WMD, January 28
- 'I believe the intelligence was correct',
UK Prime Minister Tony Blair on Iraq and WMD, January 2004
Acronym Institute coverage of Iraq from 1998 - 2003 is available at:
http://www.acronym.org.uk/iraq.
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Israel
- Challenges for the Non-Proliferation
Regime and the Middle East
by Sameh Aboul-Enein, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.90, Spring 2009
-
Engaging India, Israel and Pakistan
in the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime, by Jenny Nielsen, Disarmament
Diplomacy, No.86, Autumn 2007
-
Rethinking Security Interests for
a Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone in the Middle East, by Rebecca Johnson,
Disarmament Diplomacy, No.86, Autumn 2007
-
Building Blocks for a WMD Disarmament
Regime in the Middle East, by Merav Datan, Disarmament Diplomacy,
No.86, Autumn 2007
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South Asia
On July 18, 2005, US President Bush and Indian President Manmohan Singh
issued a joint statement, setting out their intention to cooperate a range
of issues including high technology and space and "civilian"
nuclear power. President Bush stated that "as a responsible state
with advanced nuclear technology, India should acquire the same benefits
and advantages as other such states." Bush announced that he would
seek Congressional support to "adjust U.S. laws and policies",
and that the United States would "work with friends and allies to
adjust international regimes to enable full civil nuclear energy cooperation
and trade with India." This is despite the fact that India has not
signed the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
South Asia: Documents & Statements
- US Under Secretary for Political
Affairs R. Nicholas Burns on the US - India nuclear cooperation agreement,
29 February 2008
- Joint statement by France and India,
New Dehli, January 25, 2008
- UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown visit
to India, January 21, 2008
- 'A Future Unbound': US-India Relations,
Under Secretary for Political Affairs R. Nicholas Burns speech to the
Heritage Foundation, May 23, 2007
- President Bush signs US-India Nuclear
Cooperation Act into law, December 18, 2006
- President Bush and Prime Minister
Singh on the US-India nuclear co-operation deal, March 2, 2006
- U.S. Under Secretary of State for
Political Affairs R. Nicholas Burns on Nuclear co-operation with India,
January 19, 2006
- US House Committee on International
Relations, Hearing on U.S.-India Nuclear Partnership, October 26,
2005
- US-India Civilian Nuclear Cooperation
Agreement, Joint Statement by President Bush and Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh, July 18, 2005
South Asia: Coverage in Disarmament Diplomacy
- Concerns as US-India Nuclear Deal
Goes Through, including Statement
by US President George W. Bush on the Occasion of Signing H.R. 7081,
Disarmament Diplomacy, Issue No.88, Summer 2008
- Engaging India, Israel and Pakistan
in the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime, by Jenny Nielsen, Disarmament
Diplomacy, Autumn 2007
- The misbegotten US-India nuclear
deal, Disarmament Diplomacy, Issue No.82, Spring 2006
- Dr. Khan's Nuclear WalMart, by Christopher
Clary, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.76, March/April 2004
- Iran, Libya, and Pakistan's Nuclear
Supermarket, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.75, January/February 2004
Acronym Institute coverage of South Asia from 1998 - 2003 is available
at: http://www.acronym.org.uk/sasia/index.htm.
Libya: Documents & Analysis
- Libya: Gadafy's Gamble appears to
pay off, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.77, May/June 2004
- Libya: the first real case of deproliferation
in the Middle East? Disarmament Diplomacy, No.77, May/June 2004
- Iran, Libya, and Pakistan's Nuclear
Supermarket, Disarmament Diplomacy, No.75, January/February 2004
- Libya declares its intention to dismantle
its Weapons of Mass Destruction, December 19
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Russia: Documents & Statements
Following many years of disagreements between the US and Russia over
missile defence, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev chose the day after
Obama's election as President to announce new
missile deployments aimed at countering US missile defence.
Subsequent statements from Russia, have however, been more conciliatory
in tone. Russia is actively promoting an initiative for a European
Security Treaty. In late January, Russia's Interfax news agency cited
a defence official as saying that the missile deployments were to be "suspended
because the new US administration is not pushing ahead with the plans
to deploy the US missile defence system in Poland and the Czech Republic."
Later a Defence Ministry source played this down, but it is widely viewed
as a positive indicator.
- Clinton / Lavrov press conference,
7 May 2009
- Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs
Lavrov speech to the Carnegie Endowment, 7 May 2009
- Russian Statement on Adoption of
the UN Security Council Presidential Statement over the Recent Rocket
Launch by the DPRK, 14 April 2009
- Joint Statement by Presidents Medvedev
and Obama on strategic reductions, 1 April 2009
- Joint Statement by Presidents Medvedev
and Obama, 1 April 2009
- US background briefings on Presidents
Obama and Medvedev meeting, 1 April 2009
- Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov interview
with the Financial Times, 25 March 2009
- Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov
press conference, 20 March 2009
- Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov speech
to the CD, Geneva, 7 March 2009
- Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov press
conference at the CD, Geneva, 7 March 2009
- US Secretary of State Clinton and
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov meeting, 6 March 2009
- Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov press
conference, Geneva, 6 March 2009
- Russian First Deputy Prime Minister
Sergey Ivanov, Munich Security Conference, 6 February 2009
- 'Shake loose the Cold War', Guardian
Oped by Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, 30 January 2009
- Russian initiative for a European
Security Treaty, 10 December 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Spokesperson
on NATO and Missile Defence, 8 December 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Spokesperson
on NATO and the CFE Treaty, 8 December 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov
on relations with NATO, 5 December 2008
- Russian President Dmitry Medvedev
on new deployments to counter US missile defence, 5 November 2008
- US Russia 123 Agreement announcement,
8 September 2008
- US and Russian Public Opinion on Arms
Control and Space Security, Nancy Gallagher, Disarmament Diplomacy,
No.87, Spring 2008
- US-Russia Strategic Framework Declaration,
April 6, 2008
- Draft Text on eliminating intermediate
and shorter range missiles, proposed by Russia, 13 February 2008
- Draft Text on the Placement of Weapons
in Outer Space submitted by Russia and China, 13 February 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov
speech to the CD, 12 February 2008
- Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov,
press conference, Geneva, 12 February 2008
- Russian Foreign Ministry statement
on initiatives in the CD, 12 February 2008
Previous Acronym Institute coverage of Russia is available at: www.acronym.org.uk/wmd/russia.htm.
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France: Documents & Statements
- French Defence Minister Herve Morin
interview on NATO, 26 March 2009
- President Sarkozy confirms France
will rejoin NATO's International Military Structure, 19 March 2009
- President Sarkozy speech on France,
European Defence and NATO, 11 March 2009
- French President Nicholas Sarkozy,
Munich Security Conference, 7 February 2009
- Debate on Disarmament, Letter from
M. Nicola Sarkozy, President of the Republic to Mr Ban Ki-moon, United
Nations Secretary-General, 5 December 2008
- Presentation of Le Terrible
in Cherbourg, Nicolas Sarkozy, President of the French Republic,
March 21, 2008 (excerpts)
- French Defense White Paper, 17
June 2008
- French President Nicolas Sarkozy
Nuclear Policy speech, 21 March 2008
- Joint statement by France and India,
New Dehli, January 25, 2008
- French President Nicholas Sarkozy
on Nuclear Weapons and Missile Defence, June 7 - 8, 2007
- Chirac reasserts French nuclear
weapons policy, Disarmament Diplomacy, Issue No.82, Spring 2006
- '[O]ur concept for the use of nuclear
weapons remains unchanged', President Jacques Chirac speech on French
nuclear doctrine, January 19, 2006
- 'I have extremely strong reservations
about this initiative', French President Jacques Chirac on proposals
by Presidents Bush and Blair for greater NATO involvement in Iraq, June
9
- France on NATO, Afghanistan and Iraq,
February 2 & 6
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